WHAT THE DOCTOR Rx's
So, bad weeks happen. You can't live life without a run of bad luck,
bad decisions and bad energy. It hurts more when it's a unfair
combination of all three. But that's life. The only bad move you can
make when in the midst of a string of tough moments is to sit back and
do nothing.
I had such a week. Nothing went right for me. It was well documented.
And my gambling decisions were not exempt. The topper of course being
one of the hundreds of thousands (if not millions) who had wagers on
GB -3 on Monday night. I picked them in the SuperContest. And they
were the deciding game for me in having a plus .500 week. No go. Bad
luck or bad call. It doesn't matter. It was the proverbial nail in the
coffin for my week.
My initial reaction was to not think about football. To cancel my
subscription to NFL rewind. To make a vow not to watch anymore and be
done with it in total. Screw the $1500 for the SuperContest. Screw my
plane tickets. Screw it. But then it hit me: go back, learn from it,
do better. Bitter pill to swallow after losing x amount of dollars, an
iPad and your sanity (thank you replacement refs). But it is indeed
the prescription to combat the mojo. Go back, learn from it, do
better. And before I closed the day on Monday, I was back at the desk
watching game tape and taking notes.
This is what I got this week. Hope it helps. Good luck!
Best Bets (Last Week 0-3; Season 0-3)
1) SINGLE BET
HOU -12
--> I normally shy away from big spreads. Especially when they deal
with division rivals. No matter the difference in talent, division
rivals always play tough (re: CLE vs BAL last night). However, I stick
to my process. And my reviewing of game tape has told me that there
exists a big divide between TEN and HOU. I argued that HOU has the
best offense in the league before the season starts. From what I've
seen, I feel even more confident about that statement. And though I
picked TEN to upset DET, upon further review of that team, I'm
convinced that they are a bad team masquerading as a decent team. I
think this game is 30-13.
One stat to back up the prediction: TEN has given up at least 4 TDs a
game. They have scored a total of 4 offensive TDs for the season. Bad
math for TEN fans.
2) PARLAY:
CAR/ATL Over 48.5
NO/GB Over 54.5
NYG/PHI Over 47
--> Talk about getting what the doctor ordered to cure your ills. CAR
gets to go against a very suspect run defense down in the Georgia
Dome. Expect TDs in that game on the ground from Cam. GB gets to take
out their frustrations from Monday night on the worst defense in the
league. Aaron rodgers might have 4 passing TDs in the first half. And
PHI gets to wipe the stink fro the ARI game by taking deep shots on a
hurt NYG secondary.
MoneyLine UPSET SPECIAL (Last Week 2-0; Season 2-0)
MIA +220
WAS +140
--> I'm not sold on ARI. I know they are playing solid. And they are
the hottest team in football with an underrated defense. They could
indeed be this year's version of SF 2011. But I think at some point
the plug will come out, the lights will go on, the jig will be up etc.
and why not MIA? They are one make able FG from riding a 2 game
winning streak. Plus I feel MIA defense is every bit as good. Look for
an ugly game. MIA 17 - ARI 16.
WAS as an upset is mainly because I am predicting an RG 3 bounce back.
WAS will contend for the last playoff spot in the NFC. TB will not.
And bettors note: it's always good to take a road dog when the home
team can never sellout a game.
SURVIVOR Pick (Last Week 0-1; Season 0-1)
--> 3 weeks, 3 strikes. I'm already out of my survivor pool. Again, I
re-emphasize I have no edge when it comes to this. But since I
started, I'll keep it going. GB is the call. Rodgers won't let them
start 1-3.
-N8-
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